Articles

Weather in Lithuanian Folk Observation: 40 Recorded Signs

Forty recorded weather beliefs involving plants, animals, the sky, the home and calendar days, including contrasting versions of the same sign.

Category
Nature and folklore
Reading time
8 min.
Sources
Selection from six publications, with individual source locations

Words and examples

Showing: 40

Plants

Birch leafs from the top

A wet summer was expected.

Source · p. 108, note 516

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Animals

Anthill on a hummock

A wet summer was expected.

Source · p. 108, note 516

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Animals

Anthill openings face south

A cold summer was expected.

Source · p. 108, note 516

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Home

Cured meat turns damp

Rain was expected within three days.

Source · p. 108, note 517

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Sky

Rainbow: the rain variant

Rain was expected on day three.

Source · p. 108, note 520

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Sky

Rainbow: the fair-weather variant

Fine weather was expected.

Source · p. 108, note 521

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Calendar days

Snow at Shrovetide

Snow at Easter was expected.

Source · p. 3, reference [4]

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Calendar days

Dry Shrovetide

A dry spring was expected.

Source · p. 3, reference [14]

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Plants

Cones near the spruce top

A drier summer was expected.

Source · p. 4, reference [8]

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Calendar days

Easter northerly wind

A cold summer was expected.

Source · p. 4, reference [9]

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Calendar days

Easter wind direction

It was expected to persist until Pentecost.

Source · p. 4, reference [24]

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Calendar days

Fine weather in Holy Week

A fine autumn was expected.

Source · p. 4, reference [12]

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Sky

Distant forest looks blue

A thaw was expected.

Source · Winter (ŽIEMA): distant forest

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Home

Smoke rises vertically

Clear, cold weather was expected.

Source · Winter (ŽIEMA): chimney smoke

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Animals

Crows in treetops

Severe frost was expected.

Source · Winter (ŽIEMA): crows in treetops

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Animals

Loudly cawing crows

A blizzard was expected.

Source · Winter (ŽIEMA): loudly calling crows

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Plants

Abundant sallow catkins

A rainy summer was expected.

Source · Spring (PAVASARIS): sallow

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Plants

Rowan flowers profusely

A wet autumn was expected.

Source · Spring (PAVASARIS): rowan

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Plants

Strong lilac scent

Rain was expected.

Source · Spring (PAVASARIS): lilac

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Plants

Oak leafs before ash

A dry summer was expected.

Source · Spring (PAVASARIS): oak and ash

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Plants

Abundant birch sap

A rainy summer was expected.

Source · Spring (PAVASARIS): birch sap

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Animals

Many cockchafers in May

Drought was expected.

Source · Spring (PAVASARIS): cockchafers

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Seasons

Early November snow

Winter was expected a month later.

Source · Paragraph on the first November snow

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Seasons

Rainy November

A snowy winter was expected.

Source · Paragraph on rainy November

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Seasons

Raw November weather

A milder winter was expected.

Source · Paragraph on chilly November

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Plants

Birch retains top leaves

Severe winter frost was not expected.

Source · Paragraph on leaves remaining at the top of birch trees

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Animals

Geese fly low

More rain was expected.

Source · Paragraph on low-flying geese

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Animals

Swans fly low

Snow was expected soon.

Source · Paragraph on low-flying swans

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Calendar days

Snow on St Andrew’s Day

Good legume harvests were expected.

Source · St Andrew’s Day paragraph: snow

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Calendar days

Cold St Andrew’s Day

A hot summer was expected.

Source · St Andrew’s Day paragraph: cold

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Calendar days

Rye green in January

A poor harvest was expected.

Source · Prusiszkos kalendros (1897): rye in January

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Seasons

Abundant snow

Abundant hay was expected.

Source · Prusiszkos kalendros (1897): snow and hay

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Animals

February mosquitoes above manure

More fodder was considered necessary.

Source · Prusiszkos kalendros (1897): February mosquitoes

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Seasons

Snowless February

Loss of young crops was feared.

Source · Jagomastas almanacs (1930–1939): February

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Seasons

March wind, April rain

A good harvest was expected.

Source · Jagomastas almanacs (1930–1939): March and April

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Sky

Rain before sunrise

Fine weather was expected.

Source · Kalendros ant meto 1875: rain before sunrise

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Animals

Owl calls in the evening

Fine weather was expected.

Source · Kalendros ant meto 1875: owls

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Animals

Spiders weave at night

Fine weather was expected.

Source · Kalendros ant meto 1875: spiders

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Calendar days

White Christmas

A green Easter was expected.

Source · Passage comparing Christmas snow with Easter greenery

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Calendar days

Christmas hoarfrost without severe cold

A wet, stormy summer was expected.

Source · Passage on Christmas hoarfrost

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Reading these 40 entries

Each entry separates an observed sign from the expectation attached to it. The wording is an editorial paraphrase, not a verbatim dialect transcription. Every record provides a source and a page, note or identifiable passage. Original Lithuanian headings and publication titles are retained where they help locate the passage.

The collection documents cultural history; it does not validate a forecasting method. “Was expected” deliberately identifies a belief. We assign no accuracy scores and do not present these observations as present-day instructions for work, travel or safety.

Why a sign can have two different meanings

Page 108 of the Kaišiadorys museum publication associates a rainbow both with rain and with fine weather, under different source notes. Both versions remain in this collection. Combining them into one supposedly correct folk rule would erase evidence of variation.

Compare the time horizon as well as the sign: tomorrow, the third day, an entire summer and a future harvest are different claims. A contradiction in a source is a reason to investigate, not silently delete a version.

How close is each publication to the original record?

The Kaišiadorys book and the Pilviškiai study identify informants or earlier records. The educational resource offers a general compilation. The LRT article is an ethnologist’s commentary, and the Vilnius Ethnic Culture Centre page is a thematic introduction. Their evidence is not interchangeable.

The Encyclopedia of Lithuania Minor quotes historical almanacs. Our link leads to the encyclopedia article where we consulted those examples; we do not claim to have examined every nineteenth- or twentieth-century original. The almanac title and year in the locator help readers continue the search.

A local-history exercise

Choose three signs from different groups. Compare the source type, predicted timespan and whether a locality is named. When collecting a family memory, obtain consent and record the date and exact wording, keeping your interpretation separate.

One account can add to a local history without establishing what an entire region believed. A prediction matching an outcome does not by itself demonstrate a causal connection.

Sources